Cambridge Journal of Economics Advance Access published online on June 17, 2008
Cambridge Journal of Economics, doi:10.1093/cje/ben018
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A Phillips curve interpretation of error-correction models of the wage and price dynamics
* University of Aarhus, Denmark. I am indebted to two anonymous referees for valuable comments on previous drafts of this paper. Needless to say, I am solely responsible for any ambiguity, obscurity or even outright mistake that may remain
Address for correspondence: Aarhus School of Business, University of Aarhus, Department of Economics, Prismet, Silkeborgvej 27, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark; email: soh{at}asb.dk
This paper presents a model of employment, distribution and inflation in which a modern error correction specification of the nominal wage and price dynamics (referring to claims on income by workers and firms) occupies a prominent role. It is brought out, explicitly, how this rather typical error-correction setting, which actually seems to capture the wage and price dynamics of many large-scale econometric models quite well, is fully compatible with the notion of an old-fashioned Phillips curve with finite slope. It is shown how the steady-state impact of various shocks to the model can be profitably conceived of and interpreted in terms of (and to some extent even calculated by means of) this long-run Phillips curve.
Key Words: Employment Wage share Inflation Phillips curve Error correction
JEL classifications:: E12, E24, E25, E31
Manuscript received September 25, 2006; final version received February 4, 2008.