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Cambridge Journal of Economics Advance Access first published online on October 25, 2009
This version published online on November 4, 2009
Cambridge Journal of Economics, doi:10.1093/cje/bep060
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© The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Cambridge Political Economy Society. All rights reserved.

Household vulnerability estimates of Roma in Southeast Europe

Susanne Milcher*

Address for correspondence: Social Inclusion and Poverty Reduction Specialist, UNDP Regional Centre, Grosslingova 35, 81109 Bratislava, Slovak Republic; email: susanne.milcher{at}undp.org

The paper analyses household poverty and vulnerability among Roma and non-Roma in nine countries in Southeast Europe. Vulnerability to poverty is estimated by applying a model that makes use of estimated consumption and the estimated variance of consumption. The estimations suggest that vulnerability differs greatly from poverty in that it captures a larger population that is at risk. In particular, a larger share of Roma is estimated to be vulnerable than is currently observed to be poor. The results demonstrate that poverty reduction or prevention policies necessitate additional targeting of those households that are vulnerable.

Key Words: Household vulnerability • Poverty • Roma minority • Household risk • Welfare

JEL classifications: I32, J15

* United Nations Development Programme (Slovak Republic) and Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration (Austria).

A previous version of this article contained errors in equations 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, and insertions in the text were missing. The publisher would like to apologise for these errors. This is the correct version.

Manuscript received November 7, 2008; final version received May 8, 2009.


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